2018 NCAAF Week 1 Picks

09/03/18 Monday     FLORIDA ST-6.5 over virginia tech – L

virginia tech dismissed a starting corner, a nickel back and lost a JUCO CB transfer to injury. Of the 10 linebackers and defensive backs to make at least 10 tackles last season, nine are gone

 

08/30 Thursday MINNESOTA-17.5 over new mexico st -W

new mexico st opens on Sun 8/25 against wyoming in the late afternoon and then has to travel to MINN for a Thu afternoon game? This is MINN opener so they will be well rested.

 

09/01 washington st-3 over WYOMING – W

The talent differential is very large. Mike Leach’s Air Raid offense is plug and play so it is unlikely there will be a huge dropoff despite the turnover in QB & receivers. This will be wash st’s opener so they will be well rested while wyoming has to travel to NEW MEXICO ST the previous week.

 

09/01 auburn-2.5 over washington – W

Neutral field but in auburn’s backyard and washington has to travel cross country so a +2 advantage for auburn. auburn has the better talent and the better QB. wash is missing their best receiving TE in Hunter Bryant and their LT Trey Adams is coming back from an ACL.

 

09/01 NOTRE DAME+3 over michigan – W

Teams with equal rosters except at QB where Shea Patterson is a much better passer than Winbush. However, it is his first game at Michigan so don’t expect a peak performance while Winbush had a full year of starts.