2018 NCAAF Week 3 Picks

9/15     ohio st-12.5 over TCU – L

A fairly large talent gap that favors OSU. Only hope of upsetting OSU is to outscore them and TCU does not have the QB to do that as Shawn Robinson is only completing 48.1% and avg 6.8 yards per attempt. He can run but that’s not going to be enough against OSU.  First big test for Haskins, but Rutgers was a good warmup and he was nearly perfect. TCU’s defense will be competitive but ultimately will not be able to hold up for 60 minutes.

 

9/15     alabama/MISSISSIPPI over 70 – L

A full game of Tua should yield even more points. MISS is missing their best CB in Jaylon Jones and their defense is giving up 552 yards per game on 5.9 yards per play. They have the passing game and the QB to at least score some against Alabama.

 

9/15     TEXAS A&M-25.5 over louisiana- monroe – W

A&M played clemson pretty even which was surprising. That game will instill belief in Jimbo Fisher’s coaching staff. Expect a confident A&M team to roll over an overmatched opponent.

 

9/15     colorado st/FLORIDA over 55.5 – W

FLA’s defense can’t tackle. col st’s defense is giving up 550 yards per game on 7.7 yards per play. FLA also lost Marco Wilson last week who was their best CB.

 

9/15     arizona st -4.5 over SAN DIEGO ST – L

Jumping on the Herm Edwards bandwagon as asu is maximizing their talent. They have a significant talent advantage over SDST so if they both play their best then it should be a 2 score victory for asu. Futhermore, SDST is missing their reliable starting QB Chapman. SDST did not look good against Sac St which is one of the worst teams in FBS. One last tidbit is Danny Gonzales, the asu defensive coordinator, was at SDST last year in the same role so he’ll have inside knowledge of the opponent.

 

9/13 Thursday     boston college/WAKE FOREST under 54 – L

Hurricane Florence is coming so winds are forecasted to be 14MPH which will be a small factor. The game time was moved up to 5:30pm so travelers can get out before the wind really picks up. I expect the teams to try to get this game over with so everyone can go home early. Some things are more important than an amateur football game. Wake is starting a true freshman QB. BC has run 75% of the time so far this year.

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