2018 NCAAF Week 4 Picks

9/22     ALABAMA-24 over texas a&m – L

ALA is playing incredibly well winning by 37, 50 and now 55 points. A&M has the horses to at least compete, but are unlikely to get within 24 with a sophomore QB with 3 games of experience in Jimbo’s offense.


9/22     clemson-16.5 over GEORGIA TECH – W

Expect clemson to shutdown the triple option of GT with their great defense that is only allowing 2.6 yards per rush.  Clemson has seen this offense for several years and will be ready. GT’s defense just doesn’t have the talent to matchup with clemson’s offense.


9/22     virginia tech-28 over OLD DOMINION – L

A huge talent gap here. vt had an extra week of rest due their game being cancelled due to weather so they should be hungry to play. OLD DOMINION just doesn’t have any weapons to hurt vt.


9/22     western michigan-7.5 over GEORGIA ST – W

GS really hasn’t shown much this year while wm has shown they can move the ball well with 621 yards against syracuse. A significant talent gap should enable wm to control the game.


9/22     michigan st-4.5 over INDIANA – W

mich st is off an upset loss and a bye week so they will be hungry. IND wants to run the ball but that will prove difficult against msu’s defense (1.3 YPC). mich st has the better QB (JR 8.3 YATT vs SO 6.3 YATT) and a pretty large talent gap overall.


9/21 Friday     ILLINOIS+28 over penn state – L

This is not last year’s penn st team. They are significantly weaker and have 11 freshmen in the 2-deep.  This is the game of the year for ILLINOIS on a Friday night so I expect a max effort. penn st might be looking forward to next week when they host ohio st.


9/22     boston college/PURDUE over 65.5 – L

As I learned the hardway this is not the BC offense of old. They still run a lot but are playing much faster and are hitting big plays in the passing game with competent QB play. David Blough played out of his mind with 572 yards 3TDs/1 INT and 10.1 YATT. He’s a senior with a lot of experience so even if he regresses it should not be by too much.

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