2018 NCAAF Week 1 Picks

09/03/18 Monday     FLORIDA ST-6.5 over virginia tech

virginia tech dismissed a starting corner, a nickel back and lost a JUCO CB transfer to injury. Of the 10 linebackers and defensive backs to make at least 10 tackles last season, nine are gone

NFL Playoffs

Personal Picks

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01/06 Saturday     ten+7.5 over KC –

Have you seen KC’s defense? They can’t stop anybody so expect a backdoor cover.

 

01/06 Saturday      LAR-5.5 over atl –

Great offense against a something-doesn’t-feel-right offense. Losing Kyle Shanahan as o-coordinator has had a big impact on ATL’s offense. Meanwhile the Rams offense under McVay look great with all kinds of creativity and timing.

 

01/07    NO-6 over car –

Carolina can stop the run, but New Orleans has Brees hitting 72% of his passes and is averaging 8.1 YPA. Carolina’s run game is pretty poor except for Cam Newton. It is too much to ask for 1 player. Cam’s numbers are pretty poor this year at 6.7 YPA, 16 INTs and 35 sacks.

NFL Week 17 Picks

Computer Picks

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Personal Picks     2-2-0

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12/31     nyj/NE under 44 – W

Bryce Petty is making his third start this season and 7th of his career. 13 degrees with 10MPH winds is the forecast. Excpect Patriots to kill the clock more in this game than usual to shorten the game and avoid risk of injury.

 

12/31    cin/BAL under 40.5 – L

24 degrees with 8MPH wind is the forecast. Cin is banged up on the o-line so don’t expect Dalton to hang on to the ball. BAL will try to run to exploit CIN weak run D.

 

12/31     kc/DEN under 38 – L

Paxton Lynch making is 2nd start of the season and 4th of his career.  Forecast is 28 degrees with 8 MPH winds. A good chance KC will rest Alex Smith in the 2nd half. Definitely will not be taking any chances with him in a meaningless game.

 

12/31    dal/PHI under 39.5 – W

Doubt Foles will play the 2nd half since he is already their backup and the game is meaningless. Forecast is 22 degrees with 15 MPH winds.

NFL Week 15 Picks

Overall       131-97-11   56.5%         +24.3 units

Computer Picks     4-0-0

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Based on the Bounce System:

12/17     dal+3 over OAK – W

 

Based on the Total Bounce System:

12/17     mia/BUF over 39.5 – W

12/17     bal/CLE under 40 – W

 

Based on the Total Caution System:

12/17    atl/TB under 48 – W

 

Personal Picks     1-0-0

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12/17.    lar over SEA – W

SEA Probably missing 2 more probowlers on defense with Wright doubtful and Wagner very questionable. McVay seems like an offensive genius with the Goeff and Gurley dramatic turnarounds, so look for him to exploit this mismstch. Rams outplayed them earlier in the year; even though they lost, they outgained them375-241.

NCAAF Week 15 Picks

Personal Picks     1-0-0

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12/08     army/navy under 45.5 – W

Both teams run the triple option so no surprises. Both teams had two weeks to practice. This is a super-heated rivalry so expect a lot of hard-hitting.

 

NFL Week 14 Picks

Computer Picks     1-2-0

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Based on the Coaching System:

12/10     NYG+3.5 over dal – L

 

Based Upon the Total Bounce System:

12/10     ind/BUF over 39 – L

12/10    nyj/DEN under 41.5 – W

 

Personal Picks     1-2-0

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12/07 Thursday     no+2.5 over ATL – L

Something is off with this atl team. Take NO in a primetime game where they can show their stuff, especially on defense and the running game.

 

12/10 sea+2.5 over JAC – L

Wilson over Bottles in an important game. Florida is not a bad trip this time of year.

 

12/10.    phi+1 over LAR – W

Phi off a loss where they totally outgained their opponent. Rams are good but Phi is having a special year.

NCAAF Week 14 Picks

Personal Picks     2-0-1

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12/1 Friday     stanford+4 over usc – W

stanford can drive to Levi Stadium while usc has to fly. Stanford revenge for embarrassing loss to USC earlier this year. USC is missing several defensive players. Stanford is playing well on both sides of the ball and have the best player in Bryce Love.

 

12/2    memphis+7 over central florida – T

memphis revenge for embarrassing loss to central florida earlier in the year. Both have high scoring offenses. Central florida has the better defense, but 7 on a neutral field is good value.

 

12/2     clemson-9.5 over miami – W

clemson has a fairly large talent edge, the better QB, the better defense, played a tougher schedule and a lot more experience in big games on the road/neutral sites. Unlike Notre Dame, Clemson has the speed to match Miami. I don’t see any advantages for Miami.